The ECMWF model anticipates still slightly below-normal temperatures in the spring wheat area ①, leading to a slow snowmelt, with an estimated delay of around 15 days compared to the past two years ②.
01
Canada - Are conditions favorable for early sowing?
No
02
USA - Is the crop situation fragile in the core winter wheat production area?
Yes
The ECMWF model anticipates low soil moisture levels across a large part of the winter wheat area ①. Some beneficial rainfall has been received across parts of Texas, Oklahoma, and eastern Kansas. However, at this stage, NDVI values in the South remain depressed ②. To be monitored.
03
Brazil - Is a dry trend expected in the coming days across the country?
Yes
Precipitation is expected to remain limited in the coming days according to ECMWF across a very large part of the country ①. Although higher rainfall is projected by GFS, dry conditions are still expected to prevail ②.
04
Brazil - Is the delay in the safrinha cycle still observable in Goiás?
Yes
Vegetation indices in Goiás ① still highlight a similarity with the late seasons of 2020 and 2021 ②.
05
Brazil - Is the crop situation satisfactory in Paraná?
Yes
Vegetation indices in Paraná are mostly above average ①, with NDVI curves at this stage still close to a strong year such as 2025 ②. To be monitored.
06
Argentina - Is the positive extension of the crop cycle still being observed across the country?
Yes
Vegetation indices are very high across the country ①, with NDVI curves reflecting a favorable extension of the corn crop cycle ②.
07
Europe - Will dry conditions continue to dominate across the continent in the coming days?
Yes
Rainfall in the coming days is expected to remain mostly below average according to both the European model ① and the American model ②. However, beneficial precipitation is still expected in Germany and Poland.
08
Europe - Are vegetation indices satisfactory at this stage in the southeastern part of the continent?
Yes
NDVI values in Romania and surrounding areas are above average ①, with NDVI curves that are fully satisfactory at this stage ②.
09
Ukraine + Russia - Is the upcoming cold spell a concern for crops?
No
A cold trend is expected in the coming days ①, which will lead to slow snowmelt, with an estimated delay of around 15 days compared to the past two years ②.
10
China - Do the models agree on dry conditions in the coming days across the wheat area?
No
While the ECMWF model projects a dry trend across the wheat area toward the end of the month ①, the GFS model anticipates significantly above-average precipitation ②. To be monitored.
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