World in 10 Overview

01

Canada - Do vegetation indices remain mostly high?

Yes

 Vegetation indices across the Canadian Prairies remain above average ①, with NDVI curves indicating a relatively long crop cycle this year ②. 

02

USA - Is the heavy rainfall observed across the Corn Belt expected to continue over the coming days?

No

 Above-average rainfall observed in recent days from Nebraska to Ohio ① is expected to give way to a drier pattern over the coming days ②. 

03

USA - Could the corn cycle be early across parts of the core production area?

Yes

 Vegetation indices appear slightly weak across northwestern Iowa ①. NDVI curves suggest possible early crop senescence ②. However, given the recent rainfall, this negative trend could be misleading. Worth monitoring and confirming over the coming days. 

04

Brazil - Is soil moisture declining across the wheat-growing region?

Yes

 Soil moisture levels are expected to decline from the levels observed in recent days ① over the coming days ②. At this stage, this is a rather positive development, as it should help reduce disease risk. 

05

Argentina - Do moisture conditions remain satisfactory across the wheat-growing region?

Yes

 Soil moisture levels are near or above average across Argentina’s core wheat-producing region ①. The P-ETP water balance confirms favorable conditions, with values above average ②. 

06

Australia - Do parts of the wheat-growing region still show strong crop vigor?

Yes

 Despite the drier trend observed across Australia in recent weeks, soil moisture remains near or above average in the southeastern part of the country ①. Crop vigor remains particularly strong across this region ②. 

07

Europe - Is the rainfall forecast being confirmed for the coming days?

Yes

 Over the coming days, above-average rainfall is expected from France to the Baltic countries according to the ECMWF ① and GFS ② models. 

08

Europe - With rainfall returning, can we expect a significant improvement in corn yield potential across Europe?

No

 Vegetation indices remain extremely poor across several European countries ①. In Italy, in particular, NDVI values are extremely low following their sharp decline in August ②. A significant recovery in production potential therefore appears unlikely despite improving moisture conditions. 

09

Ukraine - Are moisture conditions improving across the corn-growing region?

No

 The dry trend is expected to persist over the coming days ①, with particularly low soil moisture levels across the core corn-producing region, close to those observed during the poor 2024 season ②. 

10

China - Is rainfall expected across the corn-growing region?

Yes

 Rainfall is expected over the coming days across the previously dry northeastern part of the country, particularly according to the GFS model ①. This should help bring cumulative rainfall since July 1 somewhat closer to average, although it would remain well below normal ②. Worth monitoring!