The mild trend observed in recent days ① is expected to continue in the coming days ②, allowing crops to gradually exit dormancy, with growth resuming in March.
01
USA - Will rising temperatures accelerate the resumption of winter wheat growth?
Yes
02
BRAZIL - Is the rather dry trend in the southern part of the country continuing?
Yes
While rainfall has been below average in Paraná and Rio Grande do Sul over the past 30 days ①, the ECMWF model is forecasting dry conditions across the entire southern half of the country over the next 10 days ②.
03
BRAZIL - Is the Safrinha corn cycle particularly ahead of schedule or delayed in Mato Grosso?
No
Vegetation indices are low in Mato Grosso due to early soybean harvests ①, but NDVI curves do not indicate either a very early corn cycle as in 2024 or a particularly late one as in 2021 ②. No specific concern for the Safrinha corn crop at this stage.
04
BRAZIL - Are delays in the soybean cycle in Goiás still clearly visible?
No
Vegetation indices remain above average in Goiás ①, but NDVI curves indicate rapid senescence in recent days, allowing the crop cycle to move closer to normal levels and potentially limit delays in the Safrinha corn cycle ②. Positive development, but worth monitoring.
05
BRAZIL - Is crop vigor collapsing in Rio Grande do Sul?
No
Despite concerns related to dry conditions, vegetation indices in Rio Grande do Sul ① indicate a decline in crop vigor, but not a complete collapse in crop conditions ②. At this stage, yield potential appears to be close to average levels.
06
ARGENTINA - Are rainfall events expected in the coming days across the corn and soybean belt?
Yes
Both the ECMWF ① and GFS ② models are forecasting above-average rainfall in the provinces of Córdoba and Santiago del Estero. This is excellent news for crops, whose water requirements are particularly high at this stage.
07
ARGENTINA - Are vegetation indices responding strongly to the improvement in moisture conditions in Santa Fe province?
Yes
Vegetation indices, which were severely degraded a few weeks ago in Santa Fe province ①, are now showing strong growth, with a scenario reminiscent of the favorable 2025 season ②.
08
ARGENTINA - Does the crop situation in Córdoba province appear satisfactory?
Yes
Vegetation indices in Córdoba province, which is more significant for corn production ①, remain slightly below the levels observed over the past two years, but are showing a satisfactory upward trend ②.
09
EUROPE - Is the dry trend expected in the coming days positive news?
Yes
The pronounced wet trend observed in recent weeks ① is expected to come to an end, with favorable dry conditions anticipated across the continent in the coming days ②.
10
RUSSIA + UKRAINE - Are moisture conditions optimal as crops approach the resumption of growth?
Yes
Soil moisture levels are near to or above average across most of the winter wheat belt in Ukraine and Russia ①. In Ukraine, soil moisture has remained at satisfactory levels since January 1st ②. These water reserves will support spring crop development.
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