World in 10 Overview

01

Canada - Will dry conditions persist across the wheat-growing areas?

Yes

 The dry pattern observed over the past few days across most of the Canadian Prairies ① is expected to persist over the coming days ②. Drought concerns remain limited at this stage, but conditions will need to be monitored closely over the coming weeks. 

02

USA - Are U.S. spring wheat crop conditions looking satisfactory at this stage?

Yes

 Vegetation indices across the U.S. spring wheat region, including North Dakota, are currently mostly near or above average ①. NDVI curves confirm satisfactory crop vigor. However, the current dry trend should be monitored closely ②. 

03

USA - Is soil moisture declining across the Corn Belt?

Yes

 Soil moisture levels, which have remained mostly satisfactory across the U.S. Corn Belt in recent days ①, are expected to decline over the coming days and fall below average across much of Iowa and Illinois ②. There is no immediate concern, but conditions should be monitored over the coming weeks. 

04

Brazil - Are moisture conditions generally satisfactory across Brazil's wheat-growing region?

Yes

 Soil moisture levels, which have remained satisfactory across Brazil's wheat-growing region in recent days ①, are expected to stay broadly stable over the coming days ②. However, a decline is expected across parts of northern Paraná. There is no immediate concern, but conditions should be monitored. 

05

Argentina - Is the dry pattern continuing across the wheat and barley regions?

No

 Limited rainfall over the past few days has likely allowed rapid progress in wheat and barley planting across Argentina ①. Rainfall expected over the coming days should support crop germination and early crop development ②. 

06

Australia - Do moisture conditions appear to be deteriorating?

Yes

 The dry pattern observed in recent days ① is expected to persist across much of Australia ②. There is no immediate concern, as rainfall over recent weeks has been favorable. However, dry conditions should be monitored closely, as they may mark the beginning of El Niño-related dryness. 

07

Europe - Are moisture conditions improving for corn in the western part of the continent?

No

 Rainfall is expected to remain particularly limited over the coming days across the main corn-producing countries of Western Europe (Spain, France, Italy, Germany...) according to the ECMWF ① and GFS ② models. 

08

Europe - Are corn conditions deteriorating in Italy?

Yes

 Vegetation indices are beginning to show below-average values across northern Italy, the country's main corn-producing region ①. NDVI curves indicate that corn growth stopped unusually early, most likely due to heat and drought stress ②. While conditions are less severe than in 2022, they remain highly concerning for yield potential. 

09

Russia - Are crop conditions satisfactory across the entire spring wheat region?

No

 Vegetation indices are above average across most of Russia's spring wheat region. However, conditions are noticeably less favorable in eastern Russia, particularly in Siberia ①, where NDVI curves are well below recent years, most likely due to a highly negative water balance (precipitation minus evapotranspiration) ②. 

10

India - Has the monsoon been evenly distributed so far?

No

 Rainfall over the past 30 days has been below average across most of India, with the notable exception of Maharashtra ①. Over the coming days, beneficial rainfall is expected, but mainly across the northern part of the country ②.