World in 10 Overview

01

USA - Are the expected rainfall events in the core winter wheat production area beneficial?

Yes

 Rainfall over the next 10 days is expected to be above average in Oklahoma and Texas ①. These states have recorded below-average precipitation totals so far this season, making this very positive news as crops enter the late-winter growth resumption period ②. 

02

Brazil - Are rainfall events expected to continue across the Safrinha corn belt?

Yes

 In the coming days, the European ECMWF model ①, and even more so the GFS model ②, are forecasting above-average rainfall across the core Safrinha corn production belt at the beginning of the crop cycle. 

03

Brazil - Is the Safrinha corn cycle beginning to become visible in NDVI values in Mato Grosso?

Yes

Vegetation indices in Mato Grosso ① are highlighting the vegetative growth of Safrinha corn, in line with the 2023 season ②.

04

Brazil - Is the end of the Safra crop cycle satisfactory in Minas Gerais?

Yes

 Vegetation indices remain above average in Minas Gerais ①, with NDVI curves indicating an end of the crop cycle close to average levels ②. 

05

Brazil - Is crop vigor satisfactory despite dry conditions in Rio Grande do Sul?

Yes

 Vegetation indices in the far south of the country ① indicate a rebound in crop vigor in recent days, with current conditions appearing satisfactory for the end of the Safra crop cycle ②. 

06

Argentina - Are rainfall events expected by both models across the corn and soybean belt?

No

 The models disagree on rainfall levels in the coming days, with a dry trend forecast by ECMWF ① and a much wetter outlook according to GFS ②. 

07

Argentina - Are vegetation indices satisfactory across part of the corn and soybean belt?

Yes

 Vegetation indices are heterogeneous across the country ①, but remain satisfactory in several regions, such as the northwestern part of Buenos Aires province ②. 

08

Argentina - Are vegetation indices concerning in part of the corn and soybean belt?

Yes

 Vegetation indices are heterogeneous across the country ①. Persistently low and degraded values are observed in the central corn and soybean belt, weighing on national production potential ②. 

09

Europe - Is the late-winter resumption of growth progressing rapidly in part of the continent?

Yes

 Across a large part of the continent, such as in France, vegetation indices are high ①, reflecting rapid growth of winter crops at the end of February ②. 

10

Russia + Ukraine - Is the cold trend expected in the coming days a cause for concern?

No

 The ECMWF model is forecasting a colder trend in the coming days across Russia’s Central Federal District and northern Ukraine ①. This cold spell is not confirmed by the GFS and, in any case, is expected to remain very moderate and unlikely to pose a threat to crops ②.