01
USA - Are moisture conditions optimal in the core winter wheat production area?
No
Soil moisture levels are below average in several key wheat-producing states, including Kansas, Colorado, Texas, and Oklahoma ①. In southwestern Kansas, winter precipitation totals are among the lowest observed in recent years ②. Rainfall trends in the coming weeks will therefore be critical for spring crop development.
02
Brazil - Are rainfall events expected to continue across the Safrinha corn belt?
Yes
In the coming days, both the European ECMWF model ① and the GFS model ② are forecasting above-average rainfall across the core Safrinha corn production belt: Mato Grosso, Goiás, and Minas Gerais.
03
Brazil - Is the rapid growth of Safrinha corn visible in Mato Grosso?
Yes
Vegetation indices in Mato Grosso, the leading Safrinha corn-producing state ①, are highlighting rapid crop growth ②. However, the possibility of a delay in the corn cycle cannot be fully ruled out. Worth monitoring.
04
Brazil - Is the beginning of the Safrinha crop cycle visible in Goiás?
No
Vegetation indices remain below average in Goiás ①, which could indicate a delay in Safrinha corn development this season ②. To be confirmed in the coming weeks.
05
Brazil - Does the Safrinha crop cycle appear early in Paraná?
No
Vegetation indices remain low at this stage in Paraná ①, with NDVI curves not yet highlighting Safrinha crop growth ②. A late Safrinha season is more exposed to frost risk toward the end of the cycle. Worth monitoring.
06
Argentina - Are rainfall events expected across the corn and soybean belt?
Yes
Rainfall over the past 10 days has been above average in the provinces of Santiago del Estero, Córdoba, and Santa Fe ①. According to the GFS, this wet trend is expected to continue and expand across almost the entire corn and soybean belt ②.
07
Argentina - Are vegetation indices satisfactory in the western part of the corn and soybean belt?
Yes
Vegetation indices are mostly near to or above average across a large part of the provinces of Santiago del Estero, Córdoba, La Pampa, and the northwestern part of Buenos Aires province ①. NDVI curves across the entire western zone show values above those observed over the past five years ②.
08
Argentina - Are vegetation indices satisfactory in the eastern part of the corn and soybean belt?
No
Vegetation indices are more disappointing in the southern parts of Córdoba and Santa Fe provinces, as well as across a large portion of Buenos Aires province ①. NDVI curves highlight a positive impact from the February rainfall, but crop vigor has improved only slightly and remains below average at this stage ②.
09
Europe - Are moisture conditions satisfactory across the entire continent?
No
In the central-eastern and northern parts of the continent, precipitation in 2026 has so far been well below average ①, with cumulative rainfall since December in Poland among the lowest of the past 20 years ②. At this stage, there is no impact on crops, but water requirements will increase significantly in spring. Worth monitoring.
10
Russia + Ukraine - Is the warm trend expected to continue in the coming days?
Yes
The mild conditions observed in recent days across the winter wheat areas of Ukraine and Russia ① are expected to continue in the coming days ②, which will support the late-winter resumption of crop growth.
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