World in 10 Overview

01

Canada - Are harvests nearly complete across the Canadian Prairies?

Yes

 Vegetation indices across the wheat-growing region ① indicate that crops have reached the very end of their growing cycle, suggesting that more than 90% of wheat and barley harvesting has been completed ②. 

02

USA - Do weather models agree on the conditions expected for corn harvest progress?

No

 While the ECMWF forecasts a widespread and pronounced dry pattern over the next 10 days ①, the GFS model predicts wetter conditions, less favorable for harvest progress in the western Corn Belt ②. 

03

Brazil - Has rainfall over the past few days been satisfactory across the soybean-growing region?

Yes

 Rainfall over the past 30 days has been mostly above average across the soybean-growing region ①, with cumulative precipitation since September 1 exceeding levels recorded over the past five years in several states ②. 

04

Brazil - Are moisture conditions in Mato Grosso more uncertain than in the rest of the soybean-growing region?

Yes

 We observe greater variability in soil moisture levels across Mato Grosso than in other major soybean-producing states ①, with values in central Mato Grosso below those recorded in most recent years ②. 

05

Brazil - Is the wheat-growing cycle gradually giving way to the corn and soybean growing cycles in Paraná?

Yes

 In the south of the country, particularly in Paraná ①, vegetation indices highlight the transition period between the end of the wheat-growing cycle and the beginning of the corn and soybean growing cycles ②. No concerns for summer crops at this stage. 

06

Argentina - Are soil moisture conditions satisfactory for wheat at this stage?

Yes

 The high soil moisture levels observed in recent days across the wheat- and barley-growing regions ① are expected to remain satisfactory over the coming days ②. 

07

Argentina - Could last year's record wheat performance be repeated this year?

No

 Unlike last year, vegetation indices across the wheat-growing region are particularly heterogeneous ①, with NDVI curves in the core production area indicating conditions significantly more favorable than during the poor 2022 season, but considerably less positive than in 2026 ②. 

08

Australia - Have crop conditions deteriorated significantly across the country in recent days?

No

 The comparison of NDVI values against historical averages between October 1 ① and October 11 ② highlights overall stability in crop conditions, with below-average values in Western Australia, Queensland and northern New South Wales, while satisfactory conditions persist in South Australia, Victoria and southern New South Wales. 

09

Europe - Are rapeseed crop conditions concerning in France and neighboring countries?

Yes

 Vegetation indices in northern France, at their lowest levels in 20 years, are particularly concerning and highlight an extremely difficult start to the growing season ①, linked to the exceptional drought observed in August and September ②. The recent improvement in soil moisture remains limited. Reductions in planted area are expected. 

10

India - Is corn yield potential currently deteriorating?

Yes

 Although potential difficulties in interpreting the NDVI signal cannot be entirely ruled out, vegetation indices are currently severely deteriorated across much of the corn-growing region ①, with extremely concerning NDVI curves compared with previous years ②. Further monitoring and confirmation are needed!